Who Will Win American Idol 2016? [Analysis]

This week, the “final” winner of American Idol will be crowned. And it’s pretty obvious who that will be, right?

Not so fast.

AMERICAN IDOL: Top 3 Revealed: L-R: Contestants Trent Harmon, La'Porsha Renae and Dalton Rapattoni on AMERICAN IDOL airing Thursday, March 31 (8:00-10:00 PM ET/PT) on FOX. © 2016 FOX Broadcasting Co. Cr: Michael Becker/ FOX. This image is embargoed until Thursday, March 31,10:00PM PT / 1:00AM ET
Who will win American Idol? Trent, La’Porsha or Dalton? Fox

There have been two front-runners this season: La’Porsha Renae and Trent Harmon. And either one of them could clutch the title. But let’s not forget about the Kris Allen effect. It happened again last year when Nick Fradiani swooped in and knocked out Jax and Clark Beckham.

I’m not saying Dalton Rapattoni is going to win American Idol. I actually don’t think that’s going to happen. But if it did happen, I wouldn’t be surprised. He gained some momentum in the past couple of episodes and we can’t forget this kid was in a band before and has over 100,000 Twitter followers. That’s a lot of fans. But they don’t seem to be voting like the should. But if they wake up this week, watch out, Trent and La’Porsha.

On Wednesday night, we’ll find out which two contestants will  be up for the crown on Thursday night and right now, all the numbers I’m seeing point to that being La’Porsha and Trent. But I think only one of them is a sure thing. And that’s Trent. Yes, I’m saying that it’s very possible La’Porsha will go home this week and we will AGAIN see an all-guy finale. That’s the American Idol way, sadly.

I think we deserve a Trent/La’Porsha finale, and I do hope that’s what we get. But I’m afraid we might not get what we want. And if this happens, can Dalton beat Trent? Well, I’m going to say no, but you never know.

So who will win American Idol 2016?

I’ve said it all season — long before anyone else said it — and I’m saying it again right now. Trent Harmon is probably going to win the “final” season of American Idol. I’m getting this strong feeling that he’ll be standing next to Dalton in the end, also. I really hope La’Porsha has a shot, but I’m not so sure.

But since I’m not a psychic, I’m going to go ahead and break down all the finale scenarios and see where we end up in any final two this season. Let’s take a look.

Who can win American Idol 2016? The Scenarios


Dalton vs. Trent. In this case, I think Trent has it. Unless, the tween voters come out and decide Dalton is better looking than Trent. I know that sounds ridiculous to even say, but remember what show we’re talking about here. But seriously, all things point to Trent here. Dalton has been in the bottom two and he’s never even come close to Trent in our polls. And our polls are quite reliable at predicting outcomes. So there you have it. Will win: Trent/Should win: Trent


Trent vs. La’Porsha. Again, I’ve got to give this one to Trent. All season long, these two have battled it out in our polls and Trent always came out on top. Not to mention, La’Porsha was in the bottom two even below Dalton last time around, so I don’t see her getting enough votes to ever best Trent. I will say that this finale would be one of the best we’ve ever seen and I don’t even want to pick who should win. But I have to. Will win: Trent/Should win: Trent (but either is deserving)

What about a Dalton versus La’Porsha showdown? Let’s take a look.